CONSTRAIN Global Stocktake COP27 Poster Submission
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 5: Comparison of 21st century global mean temperature change for concentration- and emissions-driven emulator runs under the same very low emissions scenario (SSP1-1.9)
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 3: Annual fossil & industrial CO2 emissions and projected global mean temperature trajectory, central estimate and very likely (5-95% model) range, relative to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900) of the original MAGICC7 climate emulator experiment
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 4: “Climate wheels” showing the probabilities of staying below 1.5°C, 1.75°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, and 3°C in the 21st century for the different simple climate model experiments under the same emissions reduction pathway
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 2: Average decadal warming rates over the next 20 years (2021-2040) by CO2, non-CO2 greenhouse gases including CH4, aerosols and land-use reflectance, for five different Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs)
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 1: Warming contributions relative to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900) from groups of anthropogenic drivers for all five illustrative emissions scenarios assessed by IPCC AR6 WGI for 2020-2050
Global lockdown pollution level changes from baseline emissions levels for 10 species, January 2020-February 2021
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 6: Implications of different historical temperature change assessment methods re. Paris Agreement
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 5: Overview of ECS ranges from different sources
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 4: Key aspects of CMIP6
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 3: Near-term (20 year) warming trends
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 2:
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 1b: Future warming in a scenario that aims to limit temperature rise to 2°C
CONSTRAIN Report 2020 Figure 1a: Recent warming trends in CMIP6 models
Mean daily % change from national CO2 emissions baseline Feb-July 2020 (Forster et al.)
Mean daily % change from national CO2 emissions baseline for February and April 2020 (Forster et al.)
Contribution to % change in US emissions by sector (Forster et al., 2020)
Mean daily % change from national CO2 emissions baseline, April 2020 (Forster et al., 2020)
