D5.10: Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the global stocktake
D3.2 Briefing paper on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change over recent decades
D4.12 Briefing paper on assessing the skill of climate emulators, showcasing how they can be used, and how they compare to CMIP6 models
CONSTRAIN Global Stocktake COP27 Poster Submission
D1.2 Report from workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions with VolcACI
D5.2 Briefing paper characterising how uncertainties from scenario, policy and climate variability affect projections and climate impact studies over the next 20 to 30 years
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 5: Comparison of 21st century global mean temperature change for concentration- and emissions-driven emulator runs under the same very low emissions scenario (SSP1-1.9)
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 3: Annual fossil & industrial CO2 emissions and projected global mean temperature trajectory, central estimate and very likely (5-95% model) range, relative to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900) of the original MAGICC7 climate emulator experiment
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 4: “Climate wheels” showing the probabilities of staying below 1.5°C, 1.75°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, and 3°C in the 21st century for the different simple climate model experiments under the same emissions reduction pathway
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 2: Average decadal warming rates over the next 20 years (2021-2040) by CO2, non-CO2 greenhouse gases including CH4, aerosols and land-use reflectance, for five different Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs)
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 1: Warming contributions relative to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900) from groups of anthropogenic drivers for all five illustrative emissions scenarios assessed by IPCC AR6 WGI for 2020-2050
Description of the Silicone online emissions pathway tool
D2.2 Framework for characterizing mesoscale organisation of shallow convection
D4.3 Workshop report on the role of climate model emulators in IPCC AR6
Pre-COP26 Briefing Note: What exactly is a 1.5°C pathway?
Serie de rapports du projet CONSTRAIN: ZERO IN
Serie de informes CONSTRAIN: ZERO IN
Pre-COP26 Briefing Note: How likely are we to reach 1.5°C in the near future?
