D5.9. Zero In On the Critical Decade - Insights from the Latest IPCC Reports on the Paris Agreement, 1.5 C, and Climate Impacts
D5.8. Zero In On Near-Term Warming and Our Chances of Staying Within 1.5 C
D5.7. Zero In On a New Generation of Climate Models, COVID-19 and the Paris Agreement
D5.6. Zero In On the Remaining Carbon Budget Decadal Warming Rates
D5.1. Emission pathway tool
D4.8. KGSIR on knowledge gained
D4.11. Full documentation of the improved emulators in the form of a technical report or a model presentation publication for FAIR and OSCAR
D4.10. Online GitHub code of the emulators with improvements made regarding their use of climate patterns for climate impact (FAIR) and feedbacks (OSCAR) studies
D5.10. Final CONSTRAIN summary input into the global stocktake
D3.2. Briefing paper on interaction of ocean heat uptake and radiative feedback change via SST-pattern change over recent decades
D4.12. Briefing paper on assessing the skill of climate emulators, showcasing how they can be used, and how they compare to CMIP6 models
CONSTRAIN Global Stocktake COP27 Poster Submission
D1.2. Report from workshop on aerosol-cloud interactions with VolcACI
D5.2. Briefing paper characterising how uncertainties from scenario, policy and climate variability affect projections and climate impact studies over the next 20 to 30 years
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 5: Comparison of 21st century global mean temperature change for concentration- and emissions-driven emulator runs under the same very low emissions scenario (SSP1-1.9)
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 3: Annual fossil & industrial CO2 emissions and projected global mean temperature trajectory, central estimate and very likely (5-95% model) range, relative to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900) of the original MAGICC7 climate emulator experiment
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 4: “Climate wheels” showing the probabilities of staying below 1.5°C, 1.75°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, and 3°C in the 21st century for the different simple climate model experiments under the same emissions reduction pathway
CONSTRAIN Report 2021 Figure 2: Average decadal warming rates over the next 20 years (2021-2040) by CO2, non-CO2 greenhouse gases including CH4, aerosols and land-use reflectance, for five different Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs)
